Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 5.416410 6.176184 7.014620 8.010218 9.162438 10.456617 12.024071
2025-03-30 4.421781 5.413134 6.594903 8.113945 10.023989 12.358119 15.444974
2025-04-06 3.752388 4.837285 6.205722 8.071130 10.567229 13.819190 18.421111
2025-04-13 3.263259 4.384882 5.865566 7.982859 10.964563 15.061039 21.196816
2025-04-20 2.998764 4.178935 5.800739 8.220521 11.787841 16.929679 25.040655
2025-04-27 2.767094 3.981783 5.711318 8.391352 12.507876 18.704008 28.950452
2025-05-04 2.610790 3.869500 5.721451 8.693962 13.438542 20.877604 33.743724
2025-05-11 2.350806 3.572745 5.421545 8.479888 13.525876 21.722778 36.466397
2025-05-18 2.151434 3.347413 5.204975 8.366450 13.748899 22.792486 39.682402
2025-05-25 1.983019 3.153703 5.017089 8.274386 13.986834 23.897468 43.084098
2025-06-01 1.825268 2.962175 4.813349 8.130785 14.112185 24.806638 46.226313
2025-06-08 1.679326 2.777085 4.602712 7.951381 14.148357 25.547694 49.127810
2025-06-15 1.632276 2.757076 4.672858 8.280821 15.158583 28.228537 56.287701
2025-06-22 1.551620 2.671670 4.621193 8.382177 15.749259 30.175154 62.231025
2025-06-29 1.456684 2.552685 4.498678 8.337030 16.047115 31.571107 67.195938
2025-07-06 1.364318 2.430655 4.359782 8.245477 16.239180 32.767323 71.885504
2025-07-13 1.324936 2.402755 4.392371 8.491703 17.146064 35.565469 80.659464
2025-07-20 1.279400 2.359349 4.391264 8.668712 17.924652 38.177646 89.401909
2025-07-27 1.252819 2.349848 4.454221 8.982299 19.030991 41.653379 100.829010
2025-08-03 1.168393 2.221022 4.271348 8.760456 18.924871 42.334428 105.248365
2025-08-10 1.101869 2.122924 4.142613 8.642908 19.042184 43.553191 111.273279
2025-08-17 1.042719 2.035457 4.028861 8.547514 19.200006 44.886883 117.824861
2025-08-24 0.982870 1.942404 3.896582 8.398725 19.215135 45.868732 123.555931